General
31.10.2013

Director of the AIDS program of the UN predicts end of the epidemic in 2030

Currently, according to the director, the largest AIDS epidemic occurs among male homosexuals

Foto: Guilherme Kardel/Dep. de DST, Aids e Hepatites Virais
Antonio Luiz Loures, Deputy Director of the AIDS Program of the United Nations (UNAIDS) and Under Secretary-General of the United Nations (UN)
Antonio Luiz Loures, Deputy Director of the AIDS Program of the United Nations (UNAIDS) and Under Secretary-General of the United Nations (UN)

Present in the celebrations of 30 years of the State Program of STD / AIDS in Sao Paulo earlier this week, the associate director of the AIDS Program of the United Nations (UNAIDS) and Under Secretary-General of the United Nations (UN), Luiz Antonio Loures, said that the AIDS epidemic is expected to end in 2030.

My personal perspective is not an estimate of institutional UNAIDS, I think 2030 is a reasonable target to think about the end of the epidemic. If we take into account historical experience, the time it took the expansion of treatments gives a good parameter to think that maybe 15 years is a reasonable time [for the end of the epidemic], said in a speech during an event at the Hospital, the state capital.

According Loures, by the year 2015 will be eliminated globally horizontal transmission of the virus, or from mother to child. I believe 2015 is possible to eliminate the mother-child transmission. There are still cases happening on the African continent, and the transmission is almost nonexistent mother son outside Africa. This epidemic can be completed in the next two three years, he said.

Currently, according to the director, the largest AIDS epidemic occurs among male homosexuals. The transmission in this group growing in Northern Hemisphere countries, like the United States and Russia; increases also in Europe, Africa, Asia, and some countries in the Southern Hemisphere

The epidemic among gay men, that is, in my view, the only truly global epidemic we have today, among the many epidemics of AIDS. The risk of a gay young [acquiring HIV] today in a European capital is equal to the risk for acquiring HIV from a young man growing up in South Africa, which has the largest epidemic in the world, he said.

According to data presented by Loures, recorded in 2011 were 500 000 fewer deaths than caused by AIDS in 2005. The largest declines occurred in sub-Saharan Africa. There is no doubt that there is progress. This is a result of social mobilization and advancement of science, said.

Source: AGÊNCIA BRASIL